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Geopolitics

Russia’s Pressure on Armenia After the Armenia–Azerbaijan Peace Breakthrough and Naryshkin’s Yerevan Overtures
Posted inConflict Geopolitics Peacekeeping

Russia’s Pressure on Armenia After the Armenia–Azerbaijan Peace Breakthrough and Naryshkin’s Yerevan Overtures

Armenia and Azerbaijan initialed a U.S.-brokered peace deal on August 8, 2025, with Washington and Brussels framing it as a milestone that still requires formal signing and ratification. Moscow reads this as a…
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August 21, 2025Tags: Armenia, Azerbaijan, Naryshkin, Russia, SVR, USA
Axis of Arms: Russia and Iran’s Expanding Shadow Trade”
Posted inGeopolitics Warfare

Axis of Arms: Russia and Iran’s Expanding Shadow Trade”

Moscow is quietly buying weapons from Tehran, relying on Iran to help it circumvent sanctions and secure flows of dual-use goods, often routed through third countries. Transport and logistics data…
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August 19, 2025Tags: Iran, Russia
Orban’s Gas Noose for Europe
Posted inCorruption Economy Geoeconomics Geopolitics

Orban’s Gas Noose for Europe

As the European Union strives to end its dependence on Russian gas, Prime Minister Viktor Orban is not only preserving Hungary’s energy ties with the Kremlin but forging new partnerships…
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August 18, 2025Tags: Hungary, Kazakhstan, Russia, Uzbekistan
Handshake in Alaska: How Trump Gave Putin a Victory at America’s Expense
Posted inDemocracy Geopolitics

Handshake in Alaska: How Trump Gave Putin a Victory at America’s Expense

The meeting between President Donald Trump and President Vladimir V. Putin in Alaska on August 15 ended in colossal reputational losses for the United States, the result of misjudgment and overconfidence…
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August 16, 2025Tags: Russia, Ukraine, USA
How Russia’s MoD Secures and Exploits Sahel’s Strategic Minerals
Posted inCorruption Geoeconomics Geopolitics

How Russia’s MoD Secures and Exploits Sahel’s Strategic Minerals

Between Burkina Faso, Mali, and Niger, the Alliance of Sahel States (AES)—also known as the Confederation of Sahel States—was officially established in July 2024 as a mutual defense and political. After withdrawing from the Economic Community…
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August 15, 2025Tags: Burkina Faso, Mali, Niger, Russia
Malata Naha: The Basotho Nationalist Surge and the Risks of a Cross-Border Insurgency
Posted inGeopolitics Governance

Malata Naha: The Basotho Nationalist Surge and the Risks of a Cross-Border Insurgency

Lesotho’s top security officials have warned of a militant group called Malata Naha ("land reclaimers") recruiting Basotho youth and training them on South African farms to foment insurrection or reclaim territory. South…
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August 14, 2025Tags: Lesotho, South Africa
Undermined from Within: Russia’s Masterstroke Exploiting America’s Blindness and Betrayal
Posted inGeopolitics ideology Intelligence ops

Undermined from Within: Russia’s Masterstroke Exploiting America’s Blindness and Betrayal

The Trump administration’s persistent failure to grasp that Russia will never enter into a genuine, equitable deal with the United States reflects a profound misunderstanding of Moscow’s strategic culture and…
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August 13, 2025Tags: Russia, USA
The Expansion of Russia’s Strategic Alliances and Hybrid Threat Networks
Posted inGeoeconomics Geopolitics

The Expansion of Russia’s Strategic Alliances and Hybrid Threat Networks

1. Probability of DPRK Army Participation in Ukraine Current Assessment: Low-to-moderate likelihood in the short term (2025) of direct combat deployment inside Ukrainian territory. Moderate likelihood of indirect involvement — logistics, engineering, artillery crews, or military…
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August 13, 2025Tags: DPRK, Russia, Ukraine
Trump’s Ineffectiveness in Dealing with Putin: Psychological and Ideological Roots
Posted inGeopolitics ideology

Trump’s Ineffectiveness in Dealing with Putin: Psychological and Ideological Roots

Donald Trump’s presidency was marked by an unusual personal and political posture toward Vladimir Putin. While other U.S. leaders traditionally combined engagement with firm deterrence, Trump often leaned toward rhetorical praise,…
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August 11, 2025Tags: Russia, USA
Analysis: Outcomes of the Witkoff Visit to Moscow
Posted inGeopolitics Peacekeeping

Analysis: Outcomes of the Witkoff Visit to Moscow

Overview of the Visit and Its Diplomatic Context U.S. envoy Steve Witkoff conducted a three-hour meeting with President Vladimir Putin on August 6, 2025, just before a Trump-imposed deadline for…
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August 7, 2025Tags: Russia, Ukraine, USA

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