Geopolitics Archives

The Diesel Deal with Putin: Pressure on Ukraine and Risks to Transatlantic Security

Donald Trump’s October 9, 2026 decision to temporarily ease restrictions on transactions involving Russian diesel fuel, followed the next day by his call for Ukraine to elect a new president,…

October 12, 2026

Geopolitics influence ops

Bratislava Downplays the Russian Threat: From Kaliňák’s Rhetoric to the Return of the Military Attaché

Slovak Deputy Prime Minister and Defense Minister Robert Kaliňák, one of the most influential figures in Prime Minister Robert Fico’s ruling Smer-SD party, has said that Bratislava does not regard…

October 8, 2026NATO, Slovakia

Geopolitics

“The Valdai Signal to Trump: How Putin Is Trying to Change the Terms of the U.S. Peace Plan”

Vladimir Putin’s speech at the Valdai Club meeting on October 1, 2026, is important less for the novelty of Russia’s demands than for the moment at which they were formulated.…

October 2, 2026Russia, Ukraine, USA

- Geopolitics Governance

“From Article 5 to Two Brigades: Czechia Prepares for the Defense of the Baltics”

Prime Minister of the Czech Republic Andrej Babiš met with President Petr Pavel to discuss national security issues and the agenda for a meeting of the State Security Council scheduled…

October 1, 2026Czech Republic, NATO, Russia

Geoeconomics Geopolitics Intelligence ops

Russia’s Madagascar Gambit: GRU, Ports and a New Indian Ocean Foothold

Russia appears to be building in Madagascar something more consequential than another African security partnership. The pattern described in the September 23 investigation by Radio Liberty points toward an emerging integrated…

September 26, 2026Madagascar, Wagner Group

Geopolitics Governance influence ops

Arras as a Platform for Pro-Russian Mobilization: Florian Philippot’s Network Ahead of the 2027 Campaign

The Assises de la Souveraineté, held near Arras on September 12, 2026 and organized by Florian Philippot’s Les Patriotes, should be viewed as more than another anti-war or anti-sanctions event.…

September 21, 2026France, Phillippot

Geopolitics Governance

Sudan–Ethiopia: The Emerging Risk of a Second War in the Horn of Africa

The probability of a direct military confrontation between Sudan and Ethiopia has increased substantially in 2026, although a deliberate, full-scale interstate war remains constrained by the fact that both governments…

September 17, 2026Egypt, Ethiopia, Sudan

Geoeconomics Geopolitics Governance

One Against 26: How Fico Uses EU Unanimity in Moscow’s Interests

Slovakia remains the only EU member state that, at ambassadorial level in Brussels, has blocked the proposed 12-month extension of part of the anti-Russian sanctions, insisting on retaining a six-month…

September 11, 2026Slovakia

Democracy Geopolitics Governance

Rozwój Plus as a Challenge to PiS: Morawiecki Builds an Alternative Center of the Polish Right

A conflict is deepening within the local structures of Law and Justice (Prawo i Sprawiedliwość, PiS) in Lublin, potentially reflecting a broader struggle over the future configuration of Poland’s right-wing conservative camp.…

September 10, 2026Poland

Geopolitics Intelligence ops

The End of the “Budapest Exception”: Hungary Dismantles Russia’s Influence Infrastructure

Hungary’s decision to declare ten employees of the Russian diplomatic mission personae non gratae is one of the clearest signals of a shift in Budapest’s security and foreign-policy model since…

September 9, 2026Hungary