Geopolitics Archives - Page 6 of 39 - Robert Lansing Institute

Nicaragua’s Recognition of Donbas as Russian Territory: Motivations, Alignments, and Consequences

I. IntroductionIn a notable gesture of support for Russia’s international posture, Nicaragua has formally recognized the occupied Donbas territories as Russian. This development reinforces Nicaragua’s pattern of opposing Western-backed resolutions in…

July 31, 2025Nicaragua, Russia, Ukraine

Geopolitics Intelligence ops

UAV Incident in Minsk: A Russian Provocation to Draw Belarus into the War?

On July 29th , an unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) was downed by Belarusian EW in the Belarusian capital, Minsk. While official sources have remained vague or contradictory, the circumstances surrounding…

July 30, 2025Belarus, Russia

Geopolitics Governance

Austria’s Neutrality Under Pressure: Toward a Strategic Shift in Security Policy?

Austria’s historic policy of neutrality—enshrined in its 1955 State Treaty and a cornerstone of post-war identity—is now under serious scrutiny. Mounting geopolitical instability, European disillusionment with "neutrality," and the persistent threat…

July 28, 2025Austria, NATO, Russia

Geopolitics

China and the European Union: The End of Strategic Ambiguity

China’s attempt to maintain a dual posture—supporting authoritarian regimes while seeking deep economic and technological ties with the European Union—is becoming unsustainable. The EU's evolving foreign policy stance, driven by…

July 24, 2025China, EU

Geopolitics Intelligence ops National Security

Rising Russian Espionage Activity in Germany: Timing, Tactics, and Threats

Russia has sharply intensified its espionage activity in Germany since 2022. This escalation reflects shifts in Moscow's intelligence priorities amid the war in Ukraine, worsening relations with the West, and…

July 22, 2025Germany, Russia

Estimates Geopolitics

Why France Is Withdrawing Military Forces from Senegal

France’s decision to withdraw its military forces from Senegal in 2024–2025 marks a major shift in its Africa strategy. This move is driven by a combination of regional, political, and strategic factors, reflecting…

July 17, 2025France, Senegal

Geopolitics National Security

China’s Expanding Influence in the Balkans: Strategic Implications of Military Cooperation with Serbia

China's growing footprint in the Balkans has shifted from economic investments to deeper political and military engagement. A recent announcement that Serbian forces will participate in joint military drills on Chinese…

July 17, 2025China, Serbia

Geopolitics

The Waning Grip: The Decline of Russia’s Foreign Policy in the Global South

Introduction Russia has long positioned itself as an alternative power to the West in the Global South, portraying its diplomacy as non-imperialist and focused on sovereignty, military cooperation, and anti-Western…

July 16, 2025Armenia, Azerbaijan, Russia, Turkiye

Conflict Geopolitics

Trump’s 50-Day Peace Proposal to Moscow: Motivations, Feasibility, and Strategic Calculations

Donald Trump’s alleged backchannel proposal to the Kremlin to end the war in Ukraine within 50 days reflects a high-stakes political maneuver aimed at reframing the U.S. position on the…

July 15, 2025Russia, Ukraine, USA

Geopolitics Governance

Prospects of New Caledonian Statehood: Analysis and Strategic Implications

1. Probability of New Caledonia Gaining Statehood Medium-High Probability (50–65%) in the medium term (5–10 years). After the violent unrest in May–June 2024, the long-standing Kanak independence movement regained momentum, especially among younger, marginalized…

July 14, 2025France, New Caledonia

Geopolitics

Nicaragua’s Recognition of Donbas as Russian Territory: Motivations, Alignments, and Consequences

UAV Incident in Minsk: A Russian Provocation to Draw Belarus into the War?

Austria’s Neutrality Under Pressure: Toward a Strategic Shift in Security Policy?

China and the European Union: The End of Strategic Ambiguity

Rising Russian Espionage Activity in Germany: Timing, Tactics, and Threats

Why France Is Withdrawing Military Forces from Senegal

China’s Expanding Influence in the Balkans: Strategic Implications of Military Cooperation with Serbia

The Waning Grip: The Decline of Russia’s Foreign Policy in the Global South

Trump’s 50-Day Peace Proposal to Moscow: Motivations, Feasibility, and Strategic Calculations

Prospects of New Caledonian Statehood: Analysis and Strategic Implications

Partner Institutes

The Center for Nationalism Studies (CNS)