Geopolitics Archives - Page 4 of 45 - Robert Lansing Institute

Africa at the Margins: How U.S. Policy Shifts Create Openings for China and Russia

In early 2026, President Donald Trump nominated Frank W. Garcia Jr., a Republican congressional aide with limited Africa experience, to be Assistant Secretary of State for the Bureau of African Affairs, the…

February 4, 2026Africa, USA

Geoeconomics Geopolitics Intelligence ops Propaganda and Disinformation

Frexit Without Exit: How Anti-EU Movements Shape French Politics Without Winning Power

A march by supporters of France’s withdrawal from the European Union (“Frexit”) took place in central Paris. On February 2, 2026, more than a thousand people gathered in the French…

February 4, 2026EU, France, Russia

Geopolitics Intelligence ops National Security

Parliamentary Contact as a Tool of Influence: How Moscow Will Exploit Anna Paulina Luna Initiative

Republican Congresswoman Anna Paulina Luna invited deputies of the State Duma of the Russian Federation to Washington with the declared purpose of holding consultations and discussions on a peaceful settlement of the war in…

February 2, 2026Russia, Ukraine, USA

Geopolitics Warfare

Russia’s Arms Exports to Ethiopia and the Erosion of U.S. Leverage in the Horn of Africa

Russia’s supply of Yak-130 trainer/light attack aircraft and Orion strike UAVs to Ethiopia provides Addis Ababa with additional strike and reconnaissance capabilities without the political conditions that typically accompany Western military assistance. For the United States,…

January 30, 2026Ethiopia, Russia, USA

Conflict Geopolitics Warfare

Probability of a U.S. strike on Iran (late Jan 2026)

What’s pushing the probability up Visible military posture shift: reporting over the past week describes a major U.S. buildup—carrier presence and additional air assets—plus multi-day U.S. aerial exercises in the region under CENTCOM. …

January 28, 2026Iran, Russia, USA

Geopolitics

Russia Revives Its Security Partnership with Syria After Assad’s Fall

Russia is rebuilding its security partnership with Syria following the collapse of the Assad regime and the rise to power of Ahmed al-Sharaa. Despite an initial cooling of relations, Moscow…

January 20, 2026Russia, Syria, USA

Estimates Geopolitics Governance

Trump’s Policies and Politics of Permanent Crisis

Coercion, Credibility, and a Strategic Disconnect in U.S. Foreign Policy The Trump administration’s aggressive foreign policy posture toward Mexico, Iran, Cuba, and Denmark reflects a governing logic built around coercion as policy,…

January 19, 2026Cuba, Greenland, Iran, Mexico, USA

Economy Geoeconomics Geopolitics

Orbán’s ‘EU of 26’: A Slip of the Tongue—or a Signal of Huxit Thinking?”

Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán referred to “26 EU member states” while discussing the bloc’s collective financial support for Ukraine, despite the fact that the European Union has 27 members.…

January 19, 2026EU, Hungary, Huxit

Geopolitics

Moscow’s “Greenland” Provocation: How Russia Raises the Political Cost of the U.S. Arctic Strategy

Dmitry Medvedev’s statements should be viewed as an instrument of information pressure designed to destabilize the U.S. position by imposing a toxic Greenland-related agenda on Washington. Russia is reframing the…

January 14, 2026Greenland, Russia, USA

Geopolitics Governance National Security

France’s “Exit from NATO” Debate (2026): Political Signal or Strategic Break?

In January 2026, parts of the French opposition reignited a familiar theme in French strategic culture: “strategic autonomy” and skepticism toward NATO as a US-led security architecture. The immediate catalyst has been…

January 13, 2026France, NATO

Geopolitics

Africa at the Margins: How U.S. Policy Shifts Create Openings for China and Russia

Frexit Without Exit: How Anti-EU Movements Shape French Politics Without Winning Power

Parliamentary Contact as a Tool of Influence: How Moscow Will Exploit Anna Paulina Luna Initiative

Russia’s Arms Exports to Ethiopia and the Erosion of U.S. Leverage in the Horn of Africa

Probability of a U.S. strike on Iran (late Jan 2026)

Russia Revives Its Security Partnership with Syria After Assad’s Fall

Trump’s Policies and Politics of Permanent Crisis

Orbán’s ‘EU of 26’: A Slip of the Tongue—or a Signal of Huxit Thinking?”

Moscow’s “Greenland” Provocation: How Russia Raises the Political Cost of the U.S. Arctic Strategy

France’s “Exit from NATO” Debate (2026): Political Signal or Strategic Break?

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