Kosovo is entering a dangerous and uncertain political terrain if it fails to make a decision by July 27 to constitute the Assembly. The ex officio decision of the Constitutional…
A small but vocal group of politicians and public figures in Finland, some with Russian citizenship or familial ties to Russia, are actively pushing for the reopening of the Finnish-Russian…
Since July 13, the Sweida province in Syria — an area with about 500,000 inhabitants, mostly of Druze faith — has been engulfed in fierce conflicts between local Druze militias, Bedouin…
Following his controversial 2023 re-election, President Emmerson Mnangagwa's allies in ZANU-PF have begun publicly floating the idea of a constitutional amendment to allow him a third term. The political climate…
Recent developments in Moldova indicate a significant realignment within the country’s pro-Russian political spectrum. Formerly fragmented forces have now coalesced into a unified electoral bloc, potentially reshaping the political landscape…
President Paul Biya has announced for this year presidential election. The announcement came as concern grows about his age and health. Biya, who has ruled since 1982 after Ahmadou Ahidjo's resignation, removed…
1. Probability of New Caledonia Gaining Statehood Medium-High Probability (50–65%) in the medium term (5–10 years). After the violent unrest in May–June 2024, the long-standing Kanak independence movement regained momentum, especially among younger, marginalized…
Orbán is no longer just a problematic EU member—he has emerged as a direct agent of the Kremlin, wielding bribery and institutions to destabilize the bloc from within. His strategic…
Moldova’s 2025 elections are not only a test of democratic resilience but a geopolitical fault line. Russia is positioned to exploit voter fatigue, regional divisions, and political fragmentation. A robust…
Since the beginning of Russia’s full-scale war against Ukraine in February 2022, a disturbing pattern has emerged within the Kremlin's inner architecture: a wave of unexplained deaths among high-ranking officials,…