Belarus Archives - Page 2 of 3 - Robert Lansing Institute

Minsk joined Russia’s nuclear blackmail

Moscow projects signals of readiness to deploy nuclear weapons in Belarus. When Lukashenko talked to Putin in St. Petersburg most recently, he expressed his willingness to upgrade Belarusian Su-25 (Frogfoot) aircraft to carry nuclear weapons. On the one hand, that speaks of the plans…

June 28, 2022Belarus, nuclear weapons, Russia

Estimates Governance

Lukashenko risks losing sovereignty, army, and power

Russia is seeking to get Belarus into the war in Ukraine, with a view to absorb it and deprive of sovereignty. On June 23, Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu called for an enhanced joint defense of Russia and Belarus, including a single regional air defense system.…

June 24, 2022Belarus, Russia

Conflict Warfare

Assessment of Russia’s capability to use Belarus territory as military springboard for invasion

The risks of further escalation around Ukraine are rising against the backdrop of the movement of Russian troops into Belarus. The Alexander Lukashenko regime has ultimately lost its independence and…

January 20, 2022Belarus, Russia, Ukraine

Intelligence ops migration Psyops

Belarus-Poland border: conflict resolution scenarios

The risks are high that Russia and Belarus, as those behind a so-called migrant crisis at Polish border, are planning for an armed false flag op to force their way…

November 15, 2021Belarus, GRU, Russia

Conflict Intelligence ops

Is Lukashenko starting a new migrant crisis?

The tension on the border between Poland and Belarus is growing. Bigger and bigger crowds of refugees are sent towards the eastern gates of the European Union. At this point…

November 10, 2021Belarus, Poland, Russia

Intelligence ops migration

Belarus used by Russia for arms trafficking to Europe

Belarus is likely to supply Europe with combat weapon and terrorists. Poland’s Foreign Ministry said it had summoned a Belarusian diplomat over an “intrusion” at the country’s border by uniformed individuals armed with long guns. Stanislaw Zaryn, a spokesman for Poland’s security services, said Polish soldiers…

November 4, 2021Belarus, Poland

Governance Intelligence ops Psyops

Belarus has wasted its independence and is now being used by the Kremlin for subversion

Globally non-recognized Belarusian leader Alexander Lukashenko has become a full-time puppet of Russian President Vladimir Putin. To the loss of Belarus' sovereignty testifies the fact that Minsk's rhetoric and the…

August 6, 2021Belarus, Russia

Intelligence ops migration

Migration crisis in Lithuania as well-organized joint op by Russian, Belarusian intelligence

Russia and Belarus have set up an illegal migration channel to European countries through the Baltic States. There is a possibility that among the migrants trafficked are figures affiliated with…

July 13, 2021Belarus, GRU, Lithuania

Democracy migration

Minsk effort to trigger migration crisis in the Baltics, to make for soft power shift in Belarus

Political turmoil in Belarus brought the Syrian emigration scenario to Lithuanian border. Despite the political unrest in Belarus, illegal migrants, eager to get across to Lithuania, mostly come from Asia…

June 11, 2021Belarus, Lithuania, Lukashenko

Geopolitics Intelligence ops

The Ryanair plane forced landing makes Belarus’ closer to absorption

Ryanair FR4978 plane forced landing incident is an act of state air piracy and reflects Russia's geopolitical interests as of Belarus. Great Britain shares the same opinion. According to British…

May 26, 2021Belarus, Russia

Belarus