Editorial paper at Robert Lansing Institute

Why Lukashenko Freed Tsikhanouski Now: Reasons, Consequences & Russian Involvement

I. WHO IS TSIKHANOUSKI, REALLY? Nominally: A popular blogger and political prisoner, husband of Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya. In reality: He is widely believed to have been cultivated by Russia’s Ambassador to Belarus,…

June 24, 2025Belarus, Russia, USA

- Geopolitics National Security

INTELBRIEF: Russian Involvement in Iranian Strikes on U.S. Military Targets

Subject: Potential coordination or support by Russia in Iranian military actions targeting U.S. assetsRegion: Middle East, Eastern EuropeSources: Open-source intelligence, defense cooperation patterns, intercepted statements, historical precedents Key Assessment There is growing evidence and…

June 23, 2025

Geopolitics

Hungary’s Shadow Play in Chad: The Orbán Doctrine Enters Africa

Hungary’s decision — led by Gáspár Orbán, son of Prime Minister Viktor Orbán — to deploy 200 soldiers to Chad appears inconsistent with Budapest’s official policy of non-intervention and de-escalation in global…

June 23, 2025Hungary, Russia

Geopolitics National Security Warfare

Fortress North: The Strategic Logic Behind Russia’s New Military Base Near Finland

Russia’s recent decision to build a new military base close to the Finnish border marks a deliberate escalation in its confrontation with NATO. This move—timed just after Finland joined NATO—signals…

June 20, 2025Finland, NATO, Russia

Conflict Geopolitics

Russia and Iran After the Escalation with Israel: Strategic Partners, Conditional Allies

Executive Summary Despite years of strategic alignment, Russia did not provide direct military or political support to Iran during its recent confrontation with Israel. This reflects a calculated restraint rooted in Russia’s own geopolitical…

June 19, 2025Iran, Israel, Russia, USA

Geoeconomics Intelligence ops National Security

Africa’s New Overseers: Inside Russia’s Covert Gold Empire”

Russia’s involvement in building a gold refinery plant in Mali is not just an economic move — it’s a strategic maneuver involving sanctions evasion, geopolitical influence, and shadow financing of military operations in Africa and…

June 18, 2025gold, GRU, Russia, SVR, Wagner Group

Geopolitics Governance ideology National Security Propaganda and Disinformation

The Legal Illusion of Empire: Why Russia Deems the USSR’s Collapse Illegal and How It May Try to Reverse It

The Legal Illusion of Empire: Why Russia Deems the USSR’s Collapse Illegal and How It May Try to Reverse It Executive Summary The Russian Federation’s claims that the collapse of…

June 18, 2025Russia, USSR

Democracy Geopolitics War crimes

Russia and African Workers in the Defense Industry: A New Chapter in Neo-Colonialism

1. Introduction As the Kremlin confronts a labor shortage fueled by military mobilization and escalating economic isolation, Russia has increasingly turned to foreign nationals—especially from African nations—to sustain its defense-industrial…

June 17, 2025Africa, Russia

Conflict Democracy Estimates Governance

Chad on the Edge: Rising Tensions and Their Implications for Regional Stability and Peacekeeping

In the aftermath of contested presidential elections in May 2024 and amid unresolved internal divisions, Chad is facing mounting political and security tensions. The recent consolidation of power by President Mahamat…

June 16, 2025Chad

Drug trafficking Governance

Ecuador’s New Intelligence Law: Shield or Sword?

1. Executive Summary In early 2025, Ecuador passed a controversial new intelligence law aimed at restructuring the country’s security architecture amid rising violence and narcotrafficking. Marketed as a tool for…

June 16, 2025Ecuador

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