Editorial paper at Robert Lansing Institute

Prospects of New Caledonian Statehood: Analysis and Strategic Implications

1. Probability of New Caledonia Gaining Statehood Medium-High Probability (50–65%) in the medium term (5–10 years). After the violent unrest in May–June 2024, the long-standing Kanak independence movement regained momentum, especially among younger, marginalized…

July 14, 2025France, New Caledonia

Democracy Geopolitics National Security

Russia’s Deepening Ties with North Korea: Strategic Axis or Tactical Convergence?

As Russia intensifies cooperation with the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea (DPRK), a new geopolitical triangle with China emerges, altering the strategic calculus in Northeast Asia. While Moscow seeks arms,…

July 14, 2025China, DPRK, Russia

Geopolitics National Security Warfare

China Assists Russia in Gunpowder Production for War against Ukraine

Despite declaring neutrality in the Russia-Ukraine war, Beijing continues to contribute to the development of Russia’s military capabilities. China is stepping up its scientific and technological partnership with Russia. In…

July 14, 2025China, Russia, Ukraine

Corruption Geoeconomics Geopolitics Governance

The Budapest Loophole: Viktor Orbán’s Corrupt Empire and Russia’s Backdoor into Europe

Orbán is no longer just a problematic EU member—he has emerged as a direct agent of the Kremlin, wielding bribery and institutions to destabilize the bloc from within. His strategic…

July 11, 2025Hungary, Russia

Democracy Governance Intelligence ops

Moldova’s 2025 Elections: A Battleground for Influence Between Democracy and Kremlin Interference

Moldova’s 2025 elections are not only a test of democratic resilience but a geopolitical fault line. Russia is positioned to exploit voter fatigue, regional divisions, and political fragmentation. A robust…

July 10, 2025Moldova, Russia

Governance ideology

Silent Repression: The Kremlin’s Hidden War on Its Own Elite

Since the beginning of Russia’s full-scale war against Ukraine in February 2022, a disturbing pattern has emerged within the Kremlin's inner architecture: a wave of unexplained deaths among high-ranking officials,…

July 8, 2025Russia

Geopolitics Governance

Viktor Orbán’s Transylvanian Messaging: A Prelude to Hungarian Irredentism and Hybrid Pressure on Romania?

Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán’s visit to Romania—specifically to Transylvania, a region with a significant ethnic Hungarian and Székely (Szekler) population—was marked by controversial rhetoric affirming Budapest’s support for Hungarian…

July 7, 2025Hungary, Romania, Russia

Geopolitics Governance Psyops

Diplomacy as Cover: How Trump’s Calls with Putin Coincide with Russia’s Escalating Strikes on Ukraine

The resumption of high-level communication between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin—particularly via direct phone calls—has sparked concern among analysts and U.S. allies. These calls are frequently followed by intensified Russian…

July 4, 2025Russia, Ukraine, USA

Democracy Geopolitics Governance ideology

From Tiso to Fico: Slovakia’s Dangerous Drift Toward the Aggressor

Slovak Prime Minister Robert Fico’s foreign policy realignment toward Russia, combined with nationalist rhetoric and active distancing from Western security consensus, has sparked comparisons with the historical legacy of Jozef Tiso—the wartime Slovak…

July 3, 2025Nazi, Russia, Slovakia

Conflict Intelligence ops

Shifting Sands: Azeri-Russian Tensions Surface Amid Diaspora Strains and Media Arrests

The Russian police raids in Yekaterinburg targeting the Azerbaijani diaspora appear to have been triggered by a complex mix of internal intelligence turf wars, geopolitical messaging to Baku, and concerns over organized crime…

July 1, 2025Azerbaijan, Russia

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