Editorial paper at Robert Lansing Institute

Climate change is shifting energy supply in Central Asia

Low snowfall in the winter of 2019-2020 made Tajikistan start producing less electricity. It has affected domestic consumption and exports, and it will also lead to the regional energy strategy…

August 6, 2020Tajikistan, Uzbekistan

Governance

Roots for tension in Zimbabwe Politburo

Tension in Zanu-PF politburo flags President Mnangagwa's tattered position. Everything speaks for the fact that he might not further stay in power unless he’s backed by the repressive arm of…

August 3, 2020Zimbabwe

Propaganda and Disinformation

With Friends Like These”: Assessing the Russian Influence in Germany

We’d like to highlight the CSIS report “With Friends Like These”: Assessing the Russian Influence in Germany by Jeffrey Mankoff, published in July. As Europe’s unquestioned heavyweight and a country…

August 2, 2020Germany, Russia

Intelligence ops

Russia gearing up for meddling in elections in Belarus

Detention of Russia’s Wagner Group mercenaries in Minsk might speak for the Kremlin's plans to roil in Belarus. This scenario suggests a bloody massacre of the local opposition amid riots…

July 30, 2020Belarus, Wagner Group

Economy

EAEU’s internal trade does not cover for the external market downdraft

In 2020 the EAEU stands on the verge of a severe economic downfall that raises questions about the project effectiveness. If earlier the EAEU’s major problems were protectionist disputes between…

July 28, 2020EAEU, economy

Geopolitics

China activates its expansion in Central Asia

For the last ten years China has been actively expanding in Central Asia, both geopolitically and geo-economically. Traditionally the region is significantly influenced by Russia and Turkey, and is considered…

July 24, 2020Central Asia, China, economy

Conflict

Estimates of possible Egypt’s participation in Libyan campaign

Plans to invade Libya by Egypt could have been pursued by Abdel Fattah el-Sissi government since the summer of 2016. Meanwhile, Moscow not just held information about such invasion prepared,…

July 23, 2020Egypt, Libya, Turkey

Intelligence ops Must Read PDF

Intelligence and Security Committee of Parliament. Russia, 2020

The report on the threat to U.K. national security from Russia, which was compiled in early 2019 by parliament’s intelligence and security committee (ISC). MPs' report accuses Russia of trying…

July 22, 2020Russia, United Kingdom

Intelligence ops

Russia is behind the protests in Bulgaria, eager to strengthen its hand in parliament and government.

The protests in Bulgaria are targeting to bring Vazrazhdane party behind the rallies into the parliament. President Radev’s involvement in this operation by the Kremlin threatens NATO's regional security and…

July 21, 2020Bulgaria

Governance Must Read PDF

The Pushtuns of the Afghan-Pakistani borderlands, 1979

We recommend reading the CIA research paper “The Pushtuns of the Afghan-Pakistani borderlands”, which provides an insight into the inter-tribal relations in the Pakistan-Afghan border region. It describes the evolution…

July 20, 2020Afghanistan, Pakistan, Pushtuns, tribalism

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