The future after Moldova’s reintegration
Moldova reverts to the plans for reintegration of Transnistria separatist republic developed in 2003. This initiative is obviously revived from the outside and does not come from the leadership of this…
Posted inConflict Situation Reports
Cameroonian rebel groups start rivalry for power and access to finances
Internal rivalry for power among the separatist groups in Cameroon caused clashes between them and played into the hands of the military. Clashes between Cameroon’s rebel groups have intensified in the…
Posted inConflict Situation Reports
Russia is ready to change a political player in Abkhazia whose clans struggle for financial aid
The political crisis in the self-proclaimed and unrecognized state of Abkhazia, the Caucasus, will not result in its foreign policy changes; however, it reflects the Abkhaz elites’ clans struggling for…
Posted inConflict Situation Reports
In Syria Russia destroyed the Assad opposition resource base rather than fought against the IS
Analyzing the Russian military campaign in Syria it can be suggested that the fight against the IS was not Russia’s key target in Syria within 2015-2019. Attacks on the IS…
Posted inConflict Situation Reports
Qaani will continue Soleimani style of Al Quds management but more available for negotiations
Under Qaani’s leadership, there is likely to be greater continuity than change in the Quds Force. But it is doubtful that Qaani, the bureaucrat can emulate Soleimani’s charismatic leadership. Supreme Leader Ayatollah…
Posted inConflict Situation Reports
Turkish contingent’s departure for Libya to force Ankara and Moscow to reconsider the regional cooperation format
Turkey’s involvement in the Libyan military campaign will intensify competition with Russia who supports the Libyan National Army (LNA) of Field Marshal Khalifa Haftar by providing him with weapons and…
Posted inConflict Situation Reports
US Embassy attack in Baghdad was coordinated with the Iraqi and foreign government
The attack on the US Embassy in Iraq is indicative of Tehran's hybrid operation involving foreign fighters. On December 31, nearly 10 passenger jets from Iran and several scheduled flights from Beirut…
The Kremlin uses the Syrian campaign to reduce terrorist threat in Russia
Having intention to reduce tensions in the Caucasus and other Muslim highly concentrated regions of Russia, the Russian security services facilitated radical Russian citizens’ departure for areas of terrorist activity.…
Posted inConflict Situation Reports
Turkey mil op in Libya can lean on Tuareg tribal support but threatens relations with partners
Ankara demonstrates interests in overseas campaigns. This is very important sign of Turkish ambition and doninance in the MENA region. Ankara has sought to develop a policy of influence in the…
Posted inConflict
Russia creates A2/AD zone beyond Syrian borders
Russia has set up a new helicopter base at an airport in the northeastern Syrian city of Qamishli. The Russian Defence Ministry’s Zvezda TV channel showed the base was established by U.S…