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Conflict

Vucic threatens Kosovo, gives an ultimatum to the international community
Posted inConflict

Vucic threatens Kosovo, gives an ultimatum to the international community

Serbian President Aleksandar Vucic’s recent threats towards Kosovo, accompanied by an ultimatum to the international community, mark a concerning escalation in tensions within the Western Balkans. Motivated by recent events…
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March 26, 2024Tags: Kosovo, Russia, Serbia
Russia may attack two Ukrainian hydropower facilities 
Posted inConflict ecology War crimes

Russia may attack two Ukrainian hydropower facilities 

As for now, it is more than obvious that the Russian Federation is working on learning more about new water critical infrastructure in Ukraine as potential targets for attacking. It is…
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March 25, 2024Tags: Russia, Ukraine
The turbulent elections in DRC could accelerate Rwanda-Burundi conflict
Posted inConflict

The turbulent elections in DRC could accelerate Rwanda-Burundi conflict

The situation in the Great Lakes region of Africa is one of the major Geopolitical Risks that will continue into 2024. We saw evidence of that on December 23, 2023…
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February 26, 2024Tags: Burundi, DRC, Red Tabara
DR Congo’s Conflict: Rwanda’s motives to support the M23 rebels 
Posted inConflict Geopolitics Terrorism

DR Congo’s Conflict: Rwanda’s motives to support the M23 rebels 

For a long time Kinshasa has accused neighboring Rwanda of supporting the M23 rebels that have been engaged in intense fighting with the Congolese army in eastern DR Congo. The United…
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February 23, 2024Tags: DRC, M23, Rwanda
The Sudanese army is at risks of collapse. 
Posted inConflict Coup Governance

The Sudanese army is at risks of collapse. 

Fattah al-Burhan appeared to be sufficiently weak, compelling him to rely on his fellow Sudan Armed Forces bigwigs to govern. The war, which erupted after relations between the two wings of…
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February 20, 2024Tags: Sudan
Moscow pushing European far-right to rethink borders as part of historical discourse
Posted inConflict Geopolitics

Moscow pushing European far-right to rethink borders as part of historical discourse

Russian aggression against Ukraine pushed some in Europe to consider revising state borders and putting forward territorial claims as part of historical reflections. Such trends are a consequence of Russian…
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January 31, 2024Tags: Hungary, Romania, Russia, Ukraine
Conflict between Pakistan and Iran and the Ongoing Gaza-Israel War: Brief Analysis of the Linkages
Posted inConflict

Conflict between Pakistan and Iran and the Ongoing Gaza-Israel War: Brief Analysis of the Linkages

After last week’s tit-for-tat missile attacks, Pakistan and Iran have moved quickly to de-escalate tensions. At the invitation of Pakistan’s Foreign Minister Jalil Abbas Jilani, his Iranian counterpart Hossein Amir Abdollahian…
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January 24, 2024Tags: Iran, Pakistan
Iranian IRGC deployed in Yemen to support Houthis
Posted inConflict Geopolitics Terrorism

Iranian IRGC deployed in Yemen to support Houthis

Commanders and advisors from Iran’s elite Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps are on the ground in Yemen and playing a direct role in Houthi rebel attacks on commercial traffic in the…
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January 16, 2024Tags: Iran, Yemen
Rwanda-Burundi tensions threaten regional stability
Posted inConflict Geopolitics Terrorism

Rwanda-Burundi tensions threaten regional stability

Border tensions disrupting EAC integration. However, we do not see significant risks of military conflict between two countries yet. Burundi's closure of its border with Rwanda follows Burundi's President Evariste…
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January 15, 2024Tags: Burundi, DRC, Rwanda
Iran will react or not after the killing of its general in Syria
Posted inConflict Estimates National Security

Iran will react or not after the killing of its general in Syria

When Imad Mughniyeh was killed in Damascus in February 2008, the reverberations of that execution extended beyond the region. It was not about a minor figure. Wherever he went, in…
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December 28, 2023Tags: HAMAS, Iran, Israel, Palestine

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