Conflict Archives - Page 2 of 22 - Robert Lansing Institute

Russia’s Naval Moves and Hybrid Warfare in the Baltic: the war probability assessment

At present, the Kremlin appears to be repeating its Cold War–era strategy in the Baltic region, manifested through hybrid operations and deliberate provocations aimed at drawing NATO into a conflict. The…

October 16, 2025Baltic, Russia

Conflict Geopolitics

Vučić’s escalating rhetoric, threats of war and the manipulation of historical narratives

At the European Political Community summit held in Copenhagen, Serbian President Aleksandar Vučić once again demonstrated his ambitions to destabilize the Western Balkans. Facing internal pressure from the ongoing protests…

October 13, 2025Kosovo, Serbia

Conflict Geopolitics Intelligence ops National Security Warfare

From Warnings to Warfare: Russia’s Hybrid Offensive Against Moldova’s Westward Turn”

The press secretary of the Russian president, Dmitry Peskov, told the Russian state agency TASS—an outlet often used by Russia’s Foreign Intelligence Service (SVR) for cover operations—that “if Moldova continues its confrontational course…

October 13, 2025Moldova, Russia

Conflict Governance Warfare

From drones to diplomacy: How Kosovo’s military modernization exposes Vučić’s foreign policy contradictions

The arrival of Turkish-made kamikaze drones in Kosovo has triggered a new diplomatic storm in the Balkans, shaking Serbia’s relationship with one of its key economic partners—Turkey. Thousands of Skydagger drones…

October 10, 2025Kosovo, Serbia, Turkiye

Conflict Warfare

GPS Jamming on Ursula von der Leyen’s Flight: Assassination Attempt—or A2/AD Signaling?

What happened (the verified core) The European Commission confirmed that the GPS on President Ursula von der Leyen’s aircraft was jammedas it approached Plovdiv, Bulgaria, forcing crews to rely on “paper maps”…

September 2, 2025EU, GRU, Russia

Conflict Geopolitics Governance

Dodik’s Bid for Putin’s Backing to Break Bosnia: Law, Feasibility, Security Risks, and Russia’s Interests

Milorad Dodik is openly signaling that he will ask Vladimir Putin to support a referendum and, ultimately, independence for Republika Srpska (RS). While the legal path to secession is essentially closed under Bosnia and…

September 1, 2025Bosnia and Herzegovina, Russia, Serbia

Conflict Geopolitics National Security

“Always Ready for War”: What Aliyev Meant—and What Comes Next

1) The trigger: Aliyev’s August message On Aug. 21, 2025, President Ilham Aliyev said Azerbaijan “must always be ready for war,” touting expanded special forces, new commando units, upgraded aircraft and fresh fighter-jet…

August 29, 2025Azerbaijan, Russia

Conflict Geopolitics Peacekeeping

Moscow’s False Peace: How the Kremlin Exploits Trump’s Sympathy for Putin”

Russia’s leadership is exploiting President Trump’s evident sympathy for Vladimir Putin to erode the image of the United States as the world’s foremost defender of democracy. On August 24, 2025,…

August 25, 2025Russia, Ukraine, USA

Conflict Geopolitics Peacekeeping

Russia’s Pressure on Armenia After the Armenia–Azerbaijan Peace Breakthrough and Naryshkin’s Yerevan Overtures

Armenia and Azerbaijan initialed a U.S.-brokered peace deal on August 8, 2025, with Washington and Brussels framing it as a milestone that still requires formal signing and ratification. Moscow reads this as a…

August 21, 2025Armenia, Azerbaijan, Naryshkin, Russia, SVR, USA

Conflict National Security

Russia Circumvents Sanctions Through Chinese Marketplaces

Despite sweeping international sanctions, Russia continues to secure critical equipment for its defense industry by exploiting alternative supply channels. A growing share of this trade flows through Chinese e-commerce platforms,…

August 20, 2025China, Russia, Sanctions

Conflict