Conflict Archives - Page 2 of 26 - Robert Lansing Institute

Recent Afghanistan–Pakistan border clashes: reasons, foreign actors, consequences, perspectives

The latest Afghanistan–Pakistan clashes are the product of three reinforcing drivers: militant sanctuary and cross-border violence (especially Pakistan’s accusations that anti-Pakistan militants operate from Afghan soil), a chronic border/sovereignty dispute along the Durand Line…

February 27, 2026Afghanistan, Pakistan

Conflict Geopolitics

Eritrea–Ethiopia Tensions: Causes, History, Risks, and Future Scenarios

Relations between Eritrea and Ethiopia have deteriorated sharply, with both countries publicly signaling possible preparation for war. Longstanding territorial disputes, mistrust borne of multiple past conflicts, and renewed military mobilization…

February 24, 2026Eritrea, Ethiopia

Conflict Estimates Warfare

Strengthening Iran’s Air Defenses: Strategic Implications of a Secret Russia–Iran Arms Contract

A secret contract between Russia and Iran strengthens Tehran’s air defenses and threatens U.S. influence in the Middle East. A secret agreement has been concluded between Iran and Russia. Under…

February 24, 2026Iran, Israel, Russia, USA

Conflict Corruption Intelligence ops Propaganda and Disinformation

Africa’s Recruitment into Russia’s War in Ukraine: Actors, Drivers, Impact, and Implications

Recent intelligence reports and media investigations reveal that Russia has recruited significant numbers of fighters from several African countries to serve in its war against Ukraine, a practice that has attracted…

February 23, 2026Africa, Russia, Ukraine

Conflict Economy Geoeconomics

Maritime Boundary Dispute Between Ghana and Togo: Causes, History, Conflict Risk, Consequences, and Scenarios

Ghana has formally notified Togo that it will pursue international arbitration under the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS) to resolve a longstanding dispute over their maritime boundary in the Gulf of Guinea. This move…

February 21, 2026Ghana, Togo

Conflict Geopolitics National Security Warfare

Russia and Iran Challenge U.S. Naval Dominance Near the Strait of Hormuz

Planned joint naval exercises between Iran and Russia are set to take place in the Sea of Oman and the northern Indian Ocean. The maneuver area lies close to strategically…

February 19, 2026Iran, Russia, USA

Conflict Geopolitics

Manufactured Enemies: The Strategic Logic Behind Niger’s War Talk with France”

A member of Niger's ruling junta has urged his country's citizens to prepare for "war" with France, as relations with the former colonial power hit new lows. Why Now: Strategic…

February 13, 2026France, Niger, Russia

Conflict Geopolitics National Security

Moscow’s Arctic Red Lines: How Russia Could Respond to the Militarisation of Greenland

Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov stated that if Greenland is militarized and actions threatening Russia are implemented there, Moscow will take military-technical measures. “Of course, in the event of the militarization of…

February 12, 2026Greenland, Russia, USA

Conflict ideology Intelligence ops Propaganda and Disinformation

Threat Assessment: Kremlin Exploitation of Pacifist Networks in Germany

The Kremlin is seeking to exploit German pacifist groups to disrupt the Munich Security Conference. Ahead of the Munich Security Conference scheduled for February 13–15, 2026, Russian intelligence services intend…

February 10, 2026Germany, pacifism, Russia

Conflict Geopolitics National Security Warfare

Russia’s Borderlock in Central Africa: Gold, Gray Zones, and the Erosion of U.S. Leverage

Russia’s actions along the Sudan–CAR border following the gold-mine incident represent not a security response, but a deliberate territorial control operation. By sealing cross-border routes, detaining civilians, and denying access to observers, Moscow…

February 9, 2026CAR, gold, Russia, Sudan, USA

Conflict