Posted inGeopolitics Estimates
Russian Geopolitical Paranoia
Russia sees itself as a long suffering victim of international aggression, therefore it must be ever vigilant for the next attack on its sovereignty. To the Russian people, it is a…
Posted inGeopolitics Situation Reports
Morocco’s lawmakers created precedent in maritime law to reinforce control over waters
Lawmakers in Morocco integrated waters off the coast of Western Sahara into the country’s maritime territory, adopting two laws that extend its legal jurisdiction over the disputed former Spanish colony. The…
Posted inGeopolitics Situation Reports
Iranian crisis should not turn Washington’s blind eye to Russia
Armand Chouet, lansinginstitute.org Director General The killing of General Soleimani in Iraq brought the question of a likely war with Iran to the fore, intensifying tension between Democrats and Republicans…
Posted inEstimates Geopolitics
Deterioration in Cuba-Venezuela relations can trigger the fall of dictatorship regimes in Latin America
Cuban military and intelligence personnel help Nicolás Maduro stay in power and survive in social, economic, and humanitarian crisis. At the same time Venezuelan oil continues to provide much needed…
Posted inGeopolitics Situation Reports
Failure to find a compromise on Renaissance Dam could lead to a violent confrontation in Africa
Ethiopia’s continued efforts to dam the Nile could end in war with Egypt. Ethiopia and Egypt are two of Africa’s most populous and powerful countries; any ongoing showdown between them…
Posted inGeopolitics Situation Reports
Russia is lobbying for diamond embargo lift in the CAR to expand its military-political presence in the region
During the Russia-Africa Summit held in October 2019 in Sochi, Russia, the Central African Republic President, Faustin-Archange Touadéra, stated that the Russian defense ministry and the Central African Republic (the CAR)…
Posted inGeopolitics Situation Reports
NATO reconfirms Russian threat
Russia remains one of NATO’s main threats despite attempts by the French President Emanuel Macron to divert Europe’s attention from the Kremlin to the terrorism threats at the eve of…
Posted inGeopolitics Situation Reports
Russia tricks with Lukashenko on the Union State creation
By reviving the issue of the practical creation of the Union State of Russia and Belarus with common authorities, a single currency and economic space the Kremlin tries to trick…
Posted inGeopolitics Situation Reports
Russia seeks to reinforce its position in Mozambique
Using private military companies and state-owned banks, the critical economic situation in the country and the destabilization in the north of the country caused by the rebellion of the Islamic…
Posted inGeopolitics Situation Reports
High Probability of Arab Spring-2 in MENA Region to Strengthen Russia’s Hand
The political crisis in some Arab world countries is highly probable to escalate into a new round of the Arab Spring today. Thus, destabilization of the MENA region will lead…