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Geopolitics

Belarus’ New Defense Law Proposal: Strategic Alignment with Russia or Prelude to Escalation?
Posted inGeopolitics Governance Warfare

Belarus’ New Defense Law Proposal: Strategic Alignment with Russia or Prelude to Escalation?

In August 2025, the lower house of the Belarusian parliament received a draft law from the Ministry of Defense of the Republic of Belarus titled "On Amendments to Laws on Ensuring…
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August 6, 2025Tags: Belarus, Russia, Ukraine
Russia’s Withdrawal from the INF Treaty: Escalation, Threats, and the U.S. Response
Posted inGeopolitics National Security

Russia’s Withdrawal from the INF Treaty: Escalation, Threats, and the U.S. Response

On August 4, 2025, the Russian Federation announced the termination of its unilateral moratorium on deploying ground-launched intermediate-range (1,000–5,500 km) and shorter-range (500–1,000 km) missiles. This marks a significant escalation in…
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August 5, 2025Tags: INF Treaty, NATO, Russia, USA
Political paralysis and external leverage: The Trump factor in Kosovo-Serbia relations
Posted inGeopolitics

Political paralysis and external leverage: The Trump factor in Kosovo-Serbia relations

As of August 8, Kosovo awaits another decision from the Constitutional Court, following the failure of its elected representatives—who emerged from the February 9 elections—to constitute the Assembly after 54 attempts. Until…
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August 1, 2025Tags: Kosovo, Serbia
Nicaragua’s Recognition of Donbas as Russian Territory: Motivations, Alignments, and Consequences
Posted inGeopolitics Intelligence ops

Nicaragua’s Recognition of Donbas as Russian Territory: Motivations, Alignments, and Consequences

I. IntroductionIn a notable gesture of support for Russia’s international posture, Nicaragua has formally recognized the occupied Donbas territories as Russian. This development reinforces Nicaragua’s pattern of opposing Western-backed resolutions in…
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July 31, 2025Tags: Nicaragua, Russia, Ukraine
UAV Incident in Minsk: A Russian Provocation to Draw Belarus into the War?
Posted inGeopolitics Intelligence ops

UAV Incident in Minsk: A Russian Provocation to Draw Belarus into the War?

On July 29th , an unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) was downed by Belarusian EW in the Belarusian capital, Minsk. While official sources have remained vague or contradictory, the circumstances surrounding…
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July 30, 2025Tags: Belarus, Russia
Austria’s Neutrality Under Pressure: Toward a Strategic Shift in Security Policy?
Posted inGeopolitics Governance

Austria’s Neutrality Under Pressure: Toward a Strategic Shift in Security Policy?

Austria’s historic policy of neutrality—enshrined in its 1955 State Treaty and a cornerstone of post-war identity—is now under serious scrutiny. Mounting geopolitical instability, European disillusionment with "neutrality," and the persistent threat…
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July 28, 2025Tags: Austria, NATO, Russia
China and the European Union: The End of Strategic Ambiguity
Posted inGeopolitics

China and the European Union: The End of Strategic Ambiguity

China’s attempt to maintain a dual posture—supporting authoritarian regimes while seeking deep economic and technological ties with the European Union—is becoming unsustainable. The EU's evolving foreign policy stance, driven by…
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July 24, 2025Tags: China, EU
Rising Russian Espionage Activity in Germany: Timing, Tactics, and Threats
Posted inGeopolitics Intelligence ops National Security

Rising Russian Espionage Activity in Germany: Timing, Tactics, and Threats

Russia has sharply intensified its espionage activity in Germany since 2022. This escalation reflects shifts in Moscow's intelligence priorities amid the war in Ukraine, worsening relations with the West, and…
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July 22, 2025Tags: Germany, Russia
Why France Is Withdrawing Military Forces from Senegal
Posted inEstimates Geopolitics

Why France Is Withdrawing Military Forces from Senegal

France’s decision to withdraw its military forces from Senegal in 2024–2025 marks a major shift in its Africa strategy. This move is driven by a combination of regional, political, and strategic factors, reflecting…
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July 17, 2025Tags: France, Senegal
China’s Expanding Influence in the Balkans: Strategic Implications of Military Cooperation with Serbia
Posted inGeopolitics National Security

China’s Expanding Influence in the Balkans: Strategic Implications of Military Cooperation with Serbia

China's growing footprint in the Balkans has shifted from economic investments to deeper political and military engagement. A recent announcement that Serbian forces will participate in joint military drills on Chinese…
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July 17, 2025Tags: China, Serbia

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