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Terrorism

Intelligence failure: HAMAS had prepared for war and was waiting for the right opportunity, which came on October 7.
Posted inEstimates National Security Terrorism

Intelligence failure: HAMAS had prepared for war and was waiting for the right opportunity, which came on October 7.

Since October 7, 2024, when Israel was caught off guard by a sudden and highly damaging attack from Hamas, more information has surfaced regarding why there was no prior warning…
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March 15, 2024Tags: HAMAS, Israel, Yahya Sinwar
DR Congo’s Conflict: Rwanda’s motives to support the M23 rebels 
Posted inConflict Geopolitics Terrorism

DR Congo’s Conflict: Rwanda’s motives to support the M23 rebels 

For a long time Kinshasa has accused neighboring Rwanda of supporting the M23 rebels that have been engaged in intense fighting with the Congolese army in eastern DR Congo. The United…
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February 23, 2024Tags: DRC, M23, Rwanda
Afghanistan’s security landscape altered under the Taliban
Posted inTerrorism

Afghanistan’s security landscape altered under the Taliban

The Al-Qaeda appears to be reorganising in Afghanistan with the support of the Taliban. The country’s internal security situation has drastically deteriorated since the founding of the Islamic Emirate. The Taliban…
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February 19, 2024Tags: Afghanistan, Al Qaeda, Iran
Iranian IRGC deployed in Yemen to support Houthis
Posted inConflict Geopolitics Terrorism

Iranian IRGC deployed in Yemen to support Houthis

Commanders and advisors from Iran’s elite Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps are on the ground in Yemen and playing a direct role in Houthi rebel attacks on commercial traffic in the…
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January 16, 2024Tags: Iran, Yemen
Rwanda-Burundi tensions threaten regional stability
Posted inConflict Geopolitics Terrorism

Rwanda-Burundi tensions threaten regional stability

Border tensions disrupting EAC integration. However, we do not see significant risks of military conflict between two countries yet. Burundi's closure of its border with Rwanda follows Burundi's President Evariste…
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January 15, 2024Tags: Burundi, DRC, Rwanda
Hamas attack on Israel reveals shady arms shipments to terrorists
Posted inNational Security Nonproliferation Terrorism

Hamas attack on Israel reveals shady arms shipments to terrorists

Although we have not found direct evidence proving Moscow’s involvement in supplying the Hamas movement with North Korean weapons, there is a very high probability of such copartnership. Particularly, collaboration of the…
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October 20, 2023Tags: DPRK, HAMAS, Hezbollah, Iran, Israel, Palestine, Russia
Hamas assault on Israel suggests external support, planning
Posted inIntelligence ops Terrorism

Hamas assault on Israel suggests external support, planning

Moscow and Tehran most likely took a direct part in organizing, approving, and politically supporting the Hamas operation against Israel. On October 7, the day Vladimir Putin's celebrates his birthday,…
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October 7, 2023Tags: HAMAS, Palestine, Russia
Mock far-left sabotage to threaten Europe
Posted inIntelligence ops Terrorism

Mock far-left sabotage to threaten Europe

February 2023 forecast by RLI on terrorist threat for strategic targets in Europe by far-left forces affiliated with Russian intelligence is confirmed. Read also: Moscow expanding subversive influence operations across…
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September 12, 2023Tags: Germany, Russia
Tehran likely open for more interaction with Al Qaeda
Posted inTerrorism

Tehran likely open for more interaction with Al Qaeda

Iran may have stepped up effort to use Al Qaeda terrorist cells, as this jihadist group changed its leaders. Following the death of Al Qaeda leader Al-Zawahiri, Seif al-Adel, a…
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March 8, 2023Tags: Al Qaeda, Iran
Rising insecurity in Somalia increases terrorist risks in the region
Posted inGovernance Terrorism

Rising insecurity in Somalia increases terrorist risks in the region

The dispute over Sool and Sanaag in Somalia provides a potential risk of violent extremist organisation infiltration or utilisation of the area. The longer and more divisive a dispute between Somaliland and…
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February 9, 2023Tags: Puntland, Somalia, Somaliland

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