Errors in intelligence assessment: Afghanistan and Ukraine

Errors in intelligence assessment: Afghanistan and Ukraine

Conservative intelligence assessment with a focus on quantity markers, that excludes ethnic and mental background of the people in war zones, explains why the intelligence agencies miscalculated while evaluating and forecasting developments in Afghanistan and Ukraine. U.S. intelligence agencies are through a large-scale internal review…
Boundaries of intervention

Boundaries of intervention

The withdrawal of U.S. troops from Afghanistan called into question Washington credibility as a reliable strategic partner and drew criticism toward the White House. Certain hostile forces, including Russia, which…