Warfare Archives - Robert Lansing Institute

From Hybrid Influence to Coercive Presence: Wagner’s Alleged Footprint in Bulgaria and the Escalation of Russian Interference in the EU

In Bulgaria, near the village of Kladnitsa (Pernik Region), a facility linked to the Russian private military company Wagner was discovered. The site was identified by the civic organization BOEC.…

February 11, 2026Bulgaria, Wagner Group

Conflict Geopolitics National Security Warfare

Russia’s Borderlock in Central Africa: Gold, Gray Zones, and the Erosion of U.S. Leverage

Russia’s actions along the Sudan–CAR border following the gold-mine incident represent not a security response, but a deliberate territorial control operation. By sealing cross-border routes, detaining civilians, and denying access to observers, Moscow…

February 9, 2026CAR, gold, Russia, Sudan, USA

Conflict Propaganda and Disinformation Psyops Warfare

Hybrid War Goes Orbital: Russia’s Threats Against SpaceX and the United States

In early February 2026, SpaceX, in cooperation with the Ukrainian Ministry of Defense, introduced a “whitelisting” system for Starlink terminals. This move was a response to Russia’s large-scale use of unauthorized Starlink…

February 6, 2026Russia, Ukraine, USA

Conflict War crimes Warfare

Whitewashing Aggression Through ‘Peace Talks’: Why Moscow Struck on the Coldest Night

On the night of 03 February 2026, Russia carried out a combined air attack against Ukraine. In total, Russian forces employed 450 strike UAVs, 4 3M22 Zircon anti-ship missiles, 32 Iskander-M / S-400 ballistic missiles, 7 Kh-22 /…

February 3, 2026Russia, Ukraine, USA

Geopolitics Warfare

Russia’s Arms Exports to Ethiopia and the Erosion of U.S. Leverage in the Horn of Africa

Russia’s supply of Yak-130 trainer/light attack aircraft and Orion strike UAVs to Ethiopia provides Addis Ababa with additional strike and reconnaissance capabilities without the political conditions that typically accompany Western military assistance. For the United States,…

January 30, 2026Ethiopia, Russia, USA

Conflict Geopolitics Warfare

Probability of a U.S. strike on Iran (late Jan 2026)

What’s pushing the probability up Visible military posture shift: reporting over the past week describes a major U.S. buildup—carrier presence and additional air assets—plus multi-day U.S. aerial exercises in the region under CENTCOM. …

January 28, 2026Iran, Russia, USA

Geoeconomics National Security Warfare

China’s Hidden Role in Russia’s Missile War: Mapping the Electronics Supply Chain

China is becoming a party to the Russia–Ukraine conflict by increasing supplies of components to enterprises of Russia’s military-industrial complex, including those used in the production and modernization of missiles…

January 26, 2026China, Russia, Sanctions

Intelligence ops Warfare

Pentagon Acquisition of a Suspected “Havana Syndrome” Device: Evidence Convergence, Russian Signatures, and the GRU’s Directed-Energy Playbook

New CNN reporting indicates that the U.S. Department of Defense—via a covert procurement involving Homeland Security Investigations (HSI)—acquired and tested a portable device believed by some investigators to be linked…

January 14, 2026GRU, Havana Syndrome, Russia, USA

Geopolitics Warfare

Exporting Risk: Russia’s Missile Strategy to Stretch U.S. Power From Ukraine to the Gulf

The Asia Live reports that even if the alleged transfer of Iskander missile systems to Iran is merely an element of an information-psychological operation, the very strategy of “managed uncertainty” is already creating…

January 12, 2026

Drug trafficking Governance National Security Warfare

Trump’s Threats to “Hit Land” in Mexico: Escalation Logic, Operational Limits, and Political Effects

In early January 2026, President Donald Trump signaled that the U.S. would begin “hitting land” against drug cartels, asserting that cartels are “running Mexico,” and suggesting that military action could…

January 9, 2026Mexico, USA

Warfare