Warfare Archives - Robert Lansing Institute

Russia–Finland: Prospects of Military Conflict

The existing indicators point to the Kremlin preparing subversive operations against Finland.” Although A deliberate, large-scale Russian conventional attack on Finland remains unlikely in 2025–27, given Russia’s force commitments and degraded conventional capacity.…

September 11, 2025Russia

Geopolitics Warfare

Venezuela: Prospects and Risks of a Military Operation

1. Probability of Military Action https://twitter.com/SprinterExpres0/status/1964057963003289936 Assessment: Direct intervention is improbable without a major humanitarian or security crisis that shifts U.S. or regional calculus. 2. Scenarios of Military Operation A. Limited Intervention (Low-Intensity,…

September 8, 2025USA, Venezuela

National Security Warfare

From Consoles to Combat: Russia’s Gamble on Gamer Armies and Accelerated Militarization”

Russia is accelerating the militarization of its society, with plans to increase the proportion of young people in the armed forces. According to our information, the Kremlin intends to form…

September 3, 2025Russia

Conflict Warfare

GPS Jamming on Ursula von der Leyen’s Flight: Assassination Attempt—or A2/AD Signaling?

What happened (the verified core) The European Commission confirmed that the GPS on President Ursula von der Leyen’s aircraft was jammedas it approached Plovdiv, Bulgaria, forcing crews to rely on “paper maps”…

September 2, 2025EU, GRU, Russia

Geopolitics Warfare

Axis of Arms: Russia and Iran’s Expanding Shadow Trade”

Moscow is quietly buying weapons from Tehran, relying on Iran to help it circumvent sanctions and secure flows of dual-use goods, often routed through third countries. Transport and logistics data…

August 19, 2025Iran, Russia

Geopolitics Governance Warfare

Belarus’ New Defense Law Proposal: Strategic Alignment with Russia or Prelude to Escalation?

In August 2025, the lower house of the Belarusian parliament received a draft law from the Ministry of Defense of the Republic of Belarus titled "On Amendments to Laws on Ensuring…

August 6, 2025Belarus, Russia, Ukraine

Geopolitics National Security Warfare

China Assists Russia in Gunpowder Production for War against Ukraine

Despite declaring neutrality in the Russia-Ukraine war, Beijing continues to contribute to the development of Russia’s military capabilities. China is stepping up its scientific and technological partnership with Russia. In…

July 14, 2025China, Russia, Ukraine

Geopolitics National Security Warfare

Fortress North: The Strategic Logic Behind Russia’s New Military Base Near Finland

Russia’s recent decision to build a new military base close to the Finnish border marks a deliberate escalation in its confrontation with NATO. This move—timed just after Finland joined NATO—signals…

June 20, 2025Finland, NATO, Russia

Conflict Geopolitics National Security Warfare

The Suwałki Corridor Crisis: An Analysis of a Possible Russian Offensive and NATO Response Scenarios

A Russian offensive against the Suwałki Corridor would represent a direct assault on NATO territory and trigger Article 5, initiating full-scale war between Russia and the Alliance. The most plausible trigger would be…

May 27, 2025NATO, Russia, USA

Conflict Geopolitics Warfare

After the Guns Fall Silent: Strategic Implications of the India–Pakistan War

The recent war between India and Pakistan—though short in duration—has left behind a complex legacy. While active hostilities have ceased under international pressure, particularly from the United States and China, the…

May 15, 2025China, India, Pakistan

Warfare