Warfare Archives - Page 2 of 10 - Robert Lansing Institute

Recent Afghanistan–Pakistan border clashes: reasons, foreign actors, consequences, perspectives

The latest Afghanistan–Pakistan clashes are the product of three reinforcing drivers: militant sanctuary and cross-border violence (especially Pakistan’s accusations that anti-Pakistan militants operate from Afghan soil), a chronic border/sovereignty dispute along the Durand Line…

February 27, 2026Afghanistan, Pakistan

Conflict Estimates Warfare

Strengthening Iran’s Air Defenses: Strategic Implications of a Secret Russia–Iran Arms Contract

A secret contract between Russia and Iran strengthens Tehran’s air defenses and threatens U.S. influence in the Middle East. A secret agreement has been concluded between Iran and Russia. Under…

February 24, 2026Iran, Israel, Russia, USA

Conflict Geopolitics National Security Warfare

Russia and Iran Challenge U.S. Naval Dominance Near the Strait of Hormuz

Planned joint naval exercises between Iran and Russia are set to take place in the Sea of Oman and the northern Indian Ocean. The maneuver area lies close to strategically…

February 19, 2026Iran, Russia, USA

Intelligence ops Terrorism Warfare

Rails at Risk: NATO’s Most Exposed States and the Logic of Sabotage

Russia’s approach to rail sabotage in NATO states is indirect, deniable, and layered. Rather than deploying uniformed operatives, Moscow outsources risk through criminal proxies, extremist milieus, and information operations, while retaining plausible deniability. The…

February 17, 2026railroads, Russia

Intelligence ops Warfare

From Hybrid Influence to Coercive Presence: Wagner’s Alleged Footprint in Bulgaria and the Escalation of Russian Interference in the EU

In Bulgaria, near the village of Kladnitsa (Pernik Region), a facility linked to the Russian private military company Wagner was discovered. The site was identified by the civic organization BOEC.…

February 11, 2026Bulgaria, Wagner Group

Conflict Geopolitics National Security Warfare

Russia’s Borderlock in Central Africa: Gold, Gray Zones, and the Erosion of U.S. Leverage

Russia’s actions along the Sudan–CAR border following the gold-mine incident represent not a security response, but a deliberate territorial control operation. By sealing cross-border routes, detaining civilians, and denying access to observers, Moscow…

February 9, 2026CAR, gold, Russia, Sudan, USA

Conflict Propaganda and Disinformation Psyops Warfare

Hybrid War Goes Orbital: Russia’s Threats Against SpaceX and the United States

In early February 2026, SpaceX, in cooperation with the Ukrainian Ministry of Defense, introduced a “whitelisting” system for Starlink terminals. This move was a response to Russia’s large-scale use of unauthorized Starlink…

February 6, 2026Russia, Ukraine, USA

Conflict War crimes Warfare

Whitewashing Aggression Through ‘Peace Talks’: Why Moscow Struck on the Coldest Night

On the night of 03 February 2026, Russia carried out a combined air attack against Ukraine. In total, Russian forces employed 450 strike UAVs, 4 3M22 Zircon anti-ship missiles, 32 Iskander-M / S-400 ballistic missiles, 7 Kh-22 /…

February 3, 2026Russia, Ukraine, USA

Geopolitics Warfare

Russia’s Arms Exports to Ethiopia and the Erosion of U.S. Leverage in the Horn of Africa

Russia’s supply of Yak-130 trainer/light attack aircraft and Orion strike UAVs to Ethiopia provides Addis Ababa with additional strike and reconnaissance capabilities without the political conditions that typically accompany Western military assistance. For the United States,…

January 30, 2026Ethiopia, Russia, USA

Conflict Geopolitics Warfare

Probability of a U.S. strike on Iran (late Jan 2026)

What’s pushing the probability up Visible military posture shift: reporting over the past week describes a major U.S. buildup—carrier presence and additional air assets—plus multi-day U.S. aerial exercises in the region under CENTCOM. …

January 28, 2026Iran, Russia, USA

Warfare