Conflict Archives - Robert Lansing Institute

Implications of Assad’s Fall for Regional Stability in the Middle East

The fall of Bashar al-Assad's regime in Syria could profoundly impact the Middle East, influencing geopolitical alliances, regional stability, and the balance of power among global actors. Here's an overview…

December 12, 2024Iran, Israel, Saudi Arabia, Syria

Conflict Warfare

Russia Prepares to Transfer Remaining Equipment and Ammunition from Syria to Ukraine

In the aftermath of the collapse of Bashar al-Assad’s regime and the rapid advance of rebel forces deep into Syrian territory, Russia is grappling with the challenge of evacuating military…

December 10, 2024Russia, Syria, Turkiye, Ukraine

Conflict Geopolitics

The Decline of Assad’s Grip and Russia’s Waning Influence in Syria”

While Russia is unlikely to completely abandon Assad in the short term, the scope of its support may diminish as global and regional pressures mount. Moscow’s continued involvement will likely…

December 5, 2024Israel, Russia, Syria, Ukraine

- Conflict Geopolitics

HTS Offensive and Its Global Implications

The successful offensives by Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) in Aleppo during the Syrian Civil War can be attributed to several key factors: 1. Strategic Coordination HTS leveraged highly coordinated tactics between…

December 2, 2024HTS, Syria, Turkiye

Conflict Governance

Tension Rises Between Somalia And Jubbaland

Somalia's federal government has formally requested an Interpol Red Notice to arrest Jubbaland President Ahmed Mohamed Islam, also known as "Madobe." The Banadir Regional Court in Mogadishu authorized the request,…

November 29, 2024Al Shabaab, Jubbaland, Kenya, Somalia

Conflict Geopolitics National Security Nonproliferation

Russia’s Nuclear Blackmail as a Tool to Pressure the West

Russia's Nuclear Blackmail as a Tool to Pressure the West Since the conclusion of the U.S. presidential elections, Russia has continued to escalate global tensions, leveraging the threat of nuclear…

November 27, 2024nuclear weapons, Russia

Conflict

The Amhara Insurgency: External Influences and the Evolving Geopolitical Landscape in Ethiopia

The conflict in Amhara poses a serious threat to Ethiopia’s fragile stability. It not only challenges the federal government’s authority but also risks deepening ethnic divisions, which could have far-reaching…

November 11, 2024Amhara, Ethiopia

Conflict Geoeconomics Geopolitics

Egypt creates anti-Ethiopia alliance in the Horn of Africa

The recent strengthening of relations between Egypt and certain African nations may indicate a rising likelihood of conflict between Egypt and Ethiopia. In early October, the presidents of Egypt, Eritrea,…

November 1, 2024Egypt, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Somaliland

Conflict Geopolitics National Security Nonproliferation

Russia Challenges China’s Influence Over North Korea, Raising the Risk of Global Conflict

Russia is actively working to reduce China’s influence over North Korea, a move that has heightened concerns about the potential for a broader geopolitical confrontation. By expanding its cooperation with…

October 17, 2024China, DPRK, NATO, Russia, South Korea, USA

Conflict Geopolitics

Iran and Foreign Red Sea ambitions in Sudan

Sudan’s civil war has become one more pivotal theatre for geopolitical rivalries as foreign powers compete for influence in the strategically vital Red Sea region. Sudan's location offers a chokehold over one of the…

October 14, 2024Iran, Russia, Sudan