Conflict Archives - Robert Lansing Institute

Sino-Russian Military Convergence: Joint Missile Defense, Strategic Coordination, and the Erosion of U.S. Deterrence”

According to the defense ministries of China and Russia, these drills were allegedly not directed against any “specific third party” and were not intended as a response to the current…

December 8, 2025China, Russia, USA

Conflict Geopolitics National Security

Russia’s Naval Base in Sudan: A Strategic Foothold on the Red Sea Limiting U.S. Operational Freedom Near the Suez Canal

Russia’s negotiations with Sudan to establish a permanent naval facility in Port Sudan represent one of Moscow’s most consequential strategic moves outside the post-Soviet space. A Russian base on the…

December 4, 2025Russia, Sudan, USA

Conflict Geopolitics Governance

The 28-Point Mirage: A Critical Assessment of the “Peace Plan” to End the Russia–Ukraine War through the Lens of Senator Lindsey Graham

The recently leaked 28-point plan to end the Russia–Ukraine war has already generated alarm among U.S. lawmakers — most prominently Senator Lindsey Graham, who has denounced the initiative as strategically incoherent, diplomatically illegitimate,…

November 21, 2025Russia, Ukraine, USA

Conflict War crimes

“Human Hunting” in the Siege of Sarajevo, political networks, paramilitary structures, and alleged Sniper Safaris

The Siege of Sarajevo (1992-1996) remains one of the most prolonged and devastating urban blockades in modern European history. Bosnian Serb forces encircled the city for nearly four years, deploying…

November 18, 2025Bosnia and Herzegovina, Serbia

Conflict Intelligence ops War crimes

Sarajevo Safari: How the Kremlin Weaponizes Old War Crimes to Discipline Today’s ‘Disloyal’ Allies”

From “brotherhood” to treason: Russia’s punishment of Vučić In spring 2025, Russia’s SVR and MFA publicly accused Serbia of “stabbing Russia in the back” and effectively committing treason by allowing large volumes…

November 17, 2025Bosnia and Herzegovina, Russia, Serbia

Conflict Intelligence ops National Security Warfare

Venezuela’s Asymmetric Shield: How Moscow Plans to Bleed a U.S. Invasion

The Venezuelan military has developed a plan to resist a U.S. operation against their country in the event the White House orders an invasion. The Venezuelan plan envisages guerrilla warfare…

November 12, 2025Russia, Venezuela, Wagner Group

Conflict Terrorism

Serbia’s hybrid warfare in Kosovo through state-tolerated terrorism

Serbian State Terrorism in Kosovo, Europe’s Silence and the Consequences for Regional Security In the autumn of 2025, a rare but revealing event reignited debate about Serbia’s covert interventions and…

November 7, 2025Kosovo, Serbia

Conflict Estimates National Security Warfare

Russian Air-Defense Deliveries to Venezuela and the Escalation Risk of U.S.–Venezuela Military Conflict

Russian deployment of new air-defense systems to Venezuela—including Pantsir-S1 and Buk-M2E batteries to reinforce the existing S-300VM (Antey-2500)—has altered the regional security calculus. The systems strengthen Caracas’ deterrence posture yet simultaneously raise miscalculation risks with the United States, which…

November 5, 2025USA, Venezuela

Conflict Corruption Democracy Governance

Serbia’s Student Uprising One Year On: A Crisis of Legitimacy for Vučić

Serbia one year after the student uprising: November 1 protest set to shake the regime In November 2024, mass protests erupted in Novi Sad after a tent collapsed at the city’s…

November 3, 2025Serbia

Conflict Geopolitics ideology Warfare

Poseidon and the Politics of Fear: Russia’s New Deterrence Doctrine”

Russia is increasingly turning its nuclear tests into a political weapon of pressure against the United States." Russia’s Poseidon (NATO: Kanyon) is an ambitious nuclear-powered unmanned underwater vehicle – essentially a gigantic autonomous…

October 30, 2025Russia, USA

Conflict