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Conflict

Escalating Tensions Between Iran and Israel (June 2025): Timing, Scenarios, and Global Implications
Posted inConflict Geoeconomics Geopolitics

Escalating Tensions Between Iran and Israel (June 2025): Timing, Scenarios, and Global Implications

Recent weeks have seen a dramatic intensification of tensions between Iran and Israel, marked by tit-for-tat military threats, cyberattacks, and covert operations across the region. With the specter of direct…
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June 13, 2025Tags: Iran, Israel, USA
Rising Tensions Between Thailand and Cambodia: Causes, Scenarios, Consequences, and Foreign Interests
Posted inConflict Estimates Geopolitics

Rising Tensions Between Thailand and Cambodia: Causes, Scenarios, Consequences, and Foreign Interests

Southeast Asia’s geopolitical landscape is once again being tested as Thailand and Cambodia, two neighboring ASEAN members, find themselves embroiled in increasing bilateral tensions. Rooted in historical grievances, territorial disputes,…
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June 9, 2025Tags: Cambodia, Thailand
U.S. Response to Ukrainian UAV Strikes on Russian Airfields: Kellogg’s View, Strategic Implications, and Geopolitical Calculus
Posted inConflict Geopolitics National Security

U.S. Response to Ukrainian UAV Strikes on Russian Airfields: Kellogg’s View, Strategic Implications, and Geopolitical Calculus

The Ukrainian UAV strikes on Russian airfields housing strategic bombers mark a significant evolution in the war’s trajectory, highlighting Kyiv’s capacity to reach deep into Russian territory. U.S. National Security…
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June 4, 2025Tags: Russia, Ukraine, USA
The Istanbul Negotiations: Russia’s Strategy of Undermining Peace Talks and the Limits of Diplomacy
Posted inConflict Geopolitics National Security

The Istanbul Negotiations: Russia’s Strategy of Undermining Peace Talks and the Limits of Diplomacy

The Istanbul negotiations between Ukraine and Russia, held in March 2022, initially raised cautious optimism about the possibility of a diplomatic resolution to the war. However, they ultimately failed to…
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June 3, 2025Tags: Russia, Ukraine, USA
The Suwałki Corridor Crisis: An Analysis of a Possible Russian Offensive and NATO Response Scenarios
Posted inConflict Geopolitics National Security Warfare

The Suwałki Corridor Crisis: An Analysis of a Possible Russian Offensive and NATO Response Scenarios

A Russian offensive against the Suwałki Corridor would represent a direct assault on NATO territory and trigger Article 5, initiating full-scale war between Russia and the Alliance. The most plausible trigger would be…
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May 27, 2025Tags: NATO, Russia, USA
Russian Recruitment of Togolese Citizens and the Revival of Neo-Colonial Militarism in Africa
Posted inConflict Geopolitics Propaganda and Disinformation

Russian Recruitment of Togolese Citizens and the Revival of Neo-Colonial Militarism in Africa

As Russia’s war in Ukraine enters its third year, the Kremlin has expanded its global recruitment strategy, increasingly drawing from African nations like Togo to supplement its depleted manpower. Under the guise of…
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May 26, 2025Tags: Russia, Togo, Ukraine
Buffer Zone or Expanding Front? Putin’s Strategic Shift in Ukraine and the Contradiction of Trump’s Narrative
Posted inConflict Geopolitics National Security

Buffer Zone or Expanding Front? Putin’s Strategic Shift in Ukraine and the Contradiction of Trump’s Narrative

Russian President Vladimir Putin recently declared that Russia may need to create a “buffer zone” inside Ukrainian territory to protect Russian border regions from drone and artillery attacks. This statement, while framed…
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May 23, 2025Tags: Russia, Ukraine, USA
After the Guns Fall Silent: Strategic Implications of the India–Pakistan War
Posted inConflict Geopolitics Warfare

After the Guns Fall Silent: Strategic Implications of the India–Pakistan War

The recent war between India and Pakistan—though short in duration—has left behind a complex legacy. While active hostilities have ceased under international pressure, particularly from the United States and China, the…
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May 15, 2025Tags: China, India, Pakistan
The Istanbul Negotiations: Composition, Strategy, and Implications of the Russian Delegation
Posted inConflict Geopolitics Peacekeeping

The Istanbul Negotiations: Composition, Strategy, and Implications of the Russian Delegation

The renewed negotiations in Istanbul between Russia and Ukraine have attracted international attention as a potential turning point in the ongoing conflict. While the outcomes remain uncertain, the composition of the…
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May 14, 2025Tags: Russia, Ukraine, USA
China’s Declared Neutrality vs. De Facto Involvement in the Russia-Ukraine War
Posted inConflict Geopolitics National Security

China’s Declared Neutrality vs. De Facto Involvement in the Russia-Ukraine War

Despite officially claiming neutrality, China is in practice a key enabler of Russia’s war effort against Ukraine. Through massive exports of critical dual-use materials like nitrocellulose — vital for ammunition…
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April 28, 2025Tags: China, Russia, Ukraine

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