Conflict Archives - Robert Lansing Institute

China’s Declared Neutrality vs. De Facto Involvement in the Russia-Ukraine War

Despite officially claiming neutrality, China is in practice a key enabler of Russia’s war effort against Ukraine. Through massive exports of critical dual-use materials like nitrocellulose — vital for ammunition…

April 28, 2025China, Russia, Ukraine

Conflict Geopolitics

Evaluating the Risk of Conflict Between Pakistan and India”

While a large-scale conventional war between Pakistan and India remains unlikely due to the nuclear deterrent and international diplomatic pressure, the risk of limited conflict or escalation through proxy engagements,…

April 25, 2025India, Pakistan

Conflict National Security War crimes Warfare

The Broken Easter Ceasefire: Russia’s Rejection of Restraint in Ukraine

Calls for a ceasefire in Ukraine around Easter 2025, particularly from the United Nations and international humanitarian actors, were intended to pause hostilities during the Orthodox holiday and facilitate humanitarian…

April 20, 2025Russia, Ukraine

Conflict Geopolitics National Security

Strategic Shift or Escalation? Implications of Alleged Chinese Military Presence in Ukraine

Recent reports of Chinese People's Liberation Army (PLA) soldiers allegedly captured during combat operations in Ukraine have sent shockwaves through international diplomatic and military circles. If verified, this unprecedented development…

April 9, 2025China, Ukraine, USA

Conflict War crimes

Blood in the Shadows: Protests in the Central African Republic and the Pattern of Wagner Group Atrocities

The recent wave of protests across the Central African Republic (CAR) reflects growing public outrage at the continued presence and influence of Russian mercenaries, particularly the Wagner Group. Sparked by…

April 7, 2025CAR, Russia, Wagner Group

Conflict Democracy Governance

Reasons and prospects for the Amhara Rebellion

Ethiopia is in the grip of a civil war again between federal government forces and the Fano, a loose alliance of ethnic-based militia in the Amhara region. This conflict in Ethiopia's north erupted…

April 4, 2025Amhara, Ethiopia

Conflict Geopolitics National Security

The Future of NATO Under Trump: Declining U.S. Influence, European Alternatives, and the Strategic Consequences

The U.S. President Donald Trump’s skepticism toward NATO and opposition to Ukraine’s membership in the alliance have raised concerns about the long-term viability of transatlantic security cooperation. His stance weakens U.S. influence in…

April 2, 2025NATO, USA

- Conflict Geopolitics National Security

Dangerous Precedents: How U.S. Policy Risks Undermining Global Security and NATO Stability

The U.S. Administration Undermines Post-War International Security and Risks a Major Conflict in Europe The U.S. administration is contributing to the destruction of the international security system established after World…

March 25, 2025Russia, Ukraine, USA

Conflict Geopolitics

Ethiopia’s Red Sea Aspirations and Eritrea’s Interference in Tigray Heighten War Risks

Ethiopia's ambition to secure Red Sea access and Eritrea's interference in Ethiopia's internal affairs and a power struggle in Tigray could explode into a wider regional war. More on this story: Estimations:…

March 20, 2025Eritrea, Ethiopia

Conflict Geopolitics National Security Peacekeeping

Russia’s Road to a Renewed Offensive: Timeline and Strategic Challenges”

After the negotiations in Saudi Arabia on March 11, Moscow will deliberately stall the dialogue with the U.S. to buy time for regrouping and strengthening its military capabilities. We are…

March 12, 2025Russia, Ukraine, USA

Conflict