Conflict Archives - Robert Lansing Institute

Ukraine’s Strength, Washington’s Blind Spot: The Flawed U.S. Assessments of War and Resistance”

U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio’s statements once again confirm the systemic miscalculations of State Department analysts in assessing military and security threats. These mistakes have been evident in cases…

January 31, 2025Russia, Ukraine, USA

Conflict Geopolitics

Goma at the Crossroads: Analyzing the Geopolitical and Humanitarian Challenges in Eastern DRC

The situation in Goma, a key city in eastern Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC), has deteriorated significantly due to recent escalations involving the M23 rebel group. Backed by Rwandan…

January 29, 2025DRC, M23, Rwanda

Conflict Geopolitics National Security Terrorism

Scenarios and Implications of Escalating Conflict Between Israel and the Houthis

The probability of a conflict between Israel and Yemen's Houthi rebels has escalated from potential to active engagement. Recent events indicate that hostilities are already underway, with both parties conducting…

January 10, 2025Houthis, Iran, Israel, Yemen

Conflict Intelligence ops

Russian Sabotage of NATO’s Subsea Infrastructure in the Baltic Sea

Russian attacks on subsea infrastructure in the Baltic region requires a careful blend of factual evidence, historical context, and strategic communication. Russia is engaging in provocations in the Baltic Sea…

December 27, 2024Baltic, Estonia, Finland, GRU, NATO, Russia

Conflict Geopolitics Governance

Implications of Assad’s Fall for Regional Stability in the Middle East

The fall of Bashar al-Assad's regime in Syria could profoundly impact the Middle East, influencing geopolitical alliances, regional stability, and the balance of power among global actors. Here's an overview…

December 12, 2024Iran, Israel, Saudi Arabia, Syria

Conflict Warfare

Russia Prepares to Transfer Remaining Equipment and Ammunition from Syria to Ukraine

In the aftermath of the collapse of Bashar al-Assad’s regime and the rapid advance of rebel forces deep into Syrian territory, Russia is grappling with the challenge of evacuating military…

December 10, 2024Russia, Syria, Turkiye, Ukraine

Conflict Geopolitics

The Decline of Assad’s Grip and Russia’s Waning Influence in Syria”

While Russia is unlikely to completely abandon Assad in the short term, the scope of its support may diminish as global and regional pressures mount. Moscow’s continued involvement will likely…

December 5, 2024Israel, Russia, Syria, Ukraine

- Conflict Geopolitics

HTS Offensive and Its Global Implications

The successful offensives by Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) in Aleppo during the Syrian Civil War can be attributed to several key factors: 1. Strategic Coordination HTS leveraged highly coordinated tactics between…

December 2, 2024HTS, Syria, Turkiye

Conflict Governance

Tension Rises Between Somalia And Jubbaland

Somalia's federal government has formally requested an Interpol Red Notice to arrest Jubbaland President Ahmed Mohamed Islam, also known as "Madobe." The Banadir Regional Court in Mogadishu authorized the request,…

November 29, 2024Al Shabaab, Jubbaland, Kenya, Somalia

Conflict Geopolitics National Security Nonproliferation

Russia’s Nuclear Blackmail as a Tool to Pressure the West

Russia's Nuclear Blackmail as a Tool to Pressure the West Since the conclusion of the U.S. presidential elections, Russia has continued to escalate global tensions, leveraging the threat of nuclear…

November 27, 2024nuclear weapons, Russia

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