Geopolitics Archives - Page 3 of 39 - Robert Lansing Institute

When allies step back: What the U.S. Suspension of the Strategic Dialogue signals for Kosovo

One of the most severe diplomatic setbacks for Kosovo since the war occurred a few weeks ago, when the United States decided to suspend its planned Strategic Dialogue with Kosovo.…

October 8, 2025Kosovo, USA

Geopolitics Intelligence ops

Minerals, Mercenaries, and State Power: CAR’s Choice Between Wagner and Africa Corps

The Central African Republic (CAR) faces mounting pressure from Moscow to phase out the Wagner mercenary group in favor of a new Kremlin-controlled “Africa Corps.” Russian officials – including a deputy defense…

October 7, 2025African Corps, CAR, Mali, Russia, Sudan, Wagner Group

Geopolitics Intelligence ops National Security Nonproliferation

Criminal Networks as Instruments of Hybrid Warfare in Europe

Hybrid warfare refers to the blended use of military and non-military tactics by state or non-state actors to destabilize a target state below the threshold of open war. In Europe,…

October 2, 2025chemical weapon, gangs, GRU, Russia

Geopolitics

Russia’s Africa Corps: Wagner’s Successor in Africa (2022–2025)

In 2023, following Yevgeny Prigozhin’s failed mutiny and subsequent death, Moscow moved to restructure Wagner’s operations in Africa under direct state control. The result was the creation of the “Africa Corps” – a…

September 30, 2025African Corps, GRU, PMC, Russia, Wagner Group

Geopolitics Intelligence ops

From Transcarpathia to the Kremlin: Budapest’s Quiet War

Hungary continues to conduct intelligence operations on Ukrainian territory, sharing information with Russia and preparing provocations in the Kremlin’s interest. On the morning of Sept. 26, Ukrainian Armed Forces radar…

September 27, 2025Hungary, Russia, Ukraine

Geopolitics Psyops

Inside Moscow’s Alaska ADIZ Playbook

The Alaska ADIZ probes are designed to be cheap for Moscow and expensive for NORAD—operationally, financially, and politically. Treat them as a managed-risk, cost-imposition campaign: lower the collision probability, cut the cost…

September 26, 2025Russia, USA

Geopolitics National Security Nonproliferation

Russia–North Korea Pact Adds a Dangerous Front for Washington

The foreign ministers of the United States, Japan and South Korea warned of the grave security risks posed by Russia’s deepening military cooperation with North Korea. Moscow’s backing for Pyongyang’s…

September 24, 2025DPRK, Russia, USA

Geopolitics National Security Nonproliferation

The standoff over the New START arms-control treaty underscores a serious threat to the United States from Russia.

With treaty visibility gone, allies relying on the U.S. nuclear guarantee face more uncertainty, while the United States must budget for hedge capabilities and monitoring alternatives (national technical means, open-source,…

September 22, 2025nuclear weapons, Russia, USA

Geopolitics National Security

Trump and Lukashenko: Tactical Diplomacy, Strategic Risks

President Trump sent a personal letter to Lukashenko via a special envoy; Washington eased sanctions on Belavia after Minsk released 52 political prisoners; and—for the first time since 2022—U.S. officers…

September 16, 2025Belarus, Russia, USA

Geopolitics Intelligence ops Warfare

Russia–Finland: Prospects of Military Conflict

The existing indicators point to the Kremlin preparing subversive operations against Finland.” Although A deliberate, large-scale Russian conventional attack on Finland remains unlikely in 2025–27, given Russia’s force commitments and degraded conventional capacity.…

September 11, 2025Russia