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Wagner Group Atrocities in the Central African Republic — Motives, Parallels, and Risks of Regional Backlash
Posted inCorruption National Security Situation Reports Terrorism

Wagner Group Atrocities in the Central African Republic — Motives, Parallels, and Risks of Regional Backlash

The killing of local civilians by the Russian Wagner Group near a gold mine in the Central African Republic (CAR) has reignited international scrutiny over Moscow’s extractive activities in Africa.…
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July 21, 2025Tags: CAR, gold, Russia, Wagner Group
Espionage and Distrust Between Russia and Iran — A Comparative Analysis with Chinese Intelligence Activities in Russia
Posted inIntelligence ops

Espionage and Distrust Between Russia and Iran — A Comparative Analysis with Chinese Intelligence Activities in Russia

While Russia and Iran publicly portray themselves as strategic partners—especially in shared theaters like Syria—their relationship is characterized by a deep undercurrent of mistrust, particularly in intelligence and security domains. Both…
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July 18, 2025Tags: China, Iran, Russia
Why France Is Withdrawing Military Forces from Senegal
Posted inEstimates Geopolitics

Why France Is Withdrawing Military Forces from Senegal

France’s decision to withdraw its military forces from Senegal in 2024–2025 marks a major shift in its Africa strategy. This move is driven by a combination of regional, political, and strategic factors, reflecting…
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July 17, 2025Tags: France, Senegal
China’s Expanding Influence in the Balkans: Strategic Implications of Military Cooperation with Serbia
Posted inGeopolitics National Security

China’s Expanding Influence in the Balkans: Strategic Implications of Military Cooperation with Serbia

China's growing footprint in the Balkans has shifted from economic investments to deeper political and military engagement. A recent announcement that Serbian forces will participate in joint military drills on Chinese…
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July 17, 2025Tags: China, Serbia
The Waning Grip: The Decline of Russia’s Foreign Policy in the Global South
Posted inGeopolitics

The Waning Grip: The Decline of Russia’s Foreign Policy in the Global South

Introduction Russia has long positioned itself as an alternative power to the West in the Global South, portraying its diplomacy as non-imperialist and focused on sovereignty, military cooperation, and anti-Western…
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July 16, 2025Tags: Armenia, Azerbaijan, Russia, Turkiye
The Road to Yaoundé: Risks, Power, and Succession in Cameroon’s 2025 Vote”
Posted inGovernance

The Road to Yaoundé: Risks, Power, and Succession in Cameroon’s 2025 Vote”

President Paul Biya has announced  for this year  presidential election. The announcement came as concern grows about his age and health. Biya, who has ruled since 1982 after Ahmadou Ahidjo's resignation, removed…
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July 15, 2025Tags: Cameroon
Trump’s 50-Day Peace Proposal to Moscow: Motivations, Feasibility, and Strategic Calculations
Posted inConflict Geopolitics

Trump’s 50-Day Peace Proposal to Moscow: Motivations, Feasibility, and Strategic Calculations

Donald Trump’s alleged backchannel proposal to the Kremlin to end the war in Ukraine within 50 days reflects a high-stakes political maneuver aimed at reframing the U.S. position on the…
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July 15, 2025Tags: Russia, Ukraine, USA
Prospects of New Caledonian Statehood: Analysis and Strategic Implications
Posted inGeopolitics Governance

Prospects of New Caledonian Statehood: Analysis and Strategic Implications

1. Probability of New Caledonia Gaining Statehood Medium-High Probability (50–65%) in the medium term (5–10 years). After the violent unrest in May–June 2024, the long-standing Kanak independence movement regained momentum, especially among younger, marginalized…
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July 14, 2025Tags: France, New Caledonia
Russia’s Deepening Ties with North Korea: Strategic Axis or Tactical Convergence?
Posted inDemocracy Geopolitics National Security

Russia’s Deepening Ties with North Korea: Strategic Axis or Tactical Convergence?

As Russia intensifies cooperation with the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea (DPRK), a new geopolitical triangle with China emerges, altering the strategic calculus in Northeast Asia. While Moscow seeks arms,…
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July 14, 2025Tags: China, DPRK, Russia
China Assists Russia in Gunpowder Production for War against Ukraine
Posted inGeopolitics National Security Warfare

China Assists Russia in Gunpowder Production for War against Ukraine

Despite declaring neutrality in the Russia-Ukraine war, Beijing continues to contribute to the development of Russia’s military capabilities. China is stepping up its scientific and technological partnership with Russia. In…
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July 14, 2025Tags: China, Russia, Ukraine

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